Myth Busters
Send Us a Myth. We'll Bust It or Confirm It.
Got a racing angle or old-timer's rule you swear by? Send it in. We'll run it against the model and the data, then publish the verdict.
Submit a Myth or Angle
Tell us the claim. We'll test it and let you know when your verdict is up.
The Verdict Archive
Every verdict shows the claim, what we tested, and what the data says.
Busted
“The inside post is a graveyard at Saratoga.”
10 years, 589 races: the rail wins as often as any post and actually returns value, the crowd just underbets it.
Read the verdict →Busted“Gotta go with a gray horse on a gray day.”
Grays win no more often by color, and post the worst ROI of any coat, because the public believes the legend.
Read the verdict →Busted“You must bet horses bet down from the morning line.”
They win a touch more, but you’re betting into a losing-ROI group. Don’t chase the “smart money.”
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